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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+0.72vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.05+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.69+1.17vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.41-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.04-1.80vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-2.17-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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2.72University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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3.77Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.81Grand Valley State University-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.77Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 36.5% | 26.4% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 26.4% | 23.6% | 21.7% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michael Stone | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 19.8% | 26.7% | 26.3% |
| Nichole Kievit | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 26.2% | 15.9% |
| James Kennedy | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 9.6% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 22.4% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.