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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+1.11vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.69+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.64-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.05-2.43vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-2.17-1.15vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.41-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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2.74University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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4.11University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.73Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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7.85Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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6.87Grand Valley State University-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 36.3% | 25.6% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 25.2% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 9.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 28.2% | 26.5% |
| Christian Green | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 3.8% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 23.0% | 50.1% |
| Nichole Kievit | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 28.0% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.