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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Noah Janssen 35.9% 27.2% 17.0% 12.8% 4.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Goulet 26.0% 23.7% 20.9% 13.1% 11.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Skotarzak 6.8% 9.1% 12.3% 16.7% 19.9% 19.5% 10.9% 3.9% 0.9%
Solomon Dworsky 12.3% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7% 17.3% 11.9% 4.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Michael Stone 10.8% 15.4% 17.4% 17.0% 14.8% 14.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7%
Christian Green 3.8% 4.7% 6.8% 10.3% 14.2% 23.3% 20.9% 12.2% 3.8%
Theo Wachowski 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 4.2% 4.9% 12.5% 21.5% 51.4%
Ethan Mendez 1.4% 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 5.9% 8.5% 20.0% 29.6% 26.6%
Nichole Kievit 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 7.4% 12.1% 22.5% 29.1% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.