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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+0.70vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-0.04vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.17+2.80vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.71-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.05-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.04-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.69-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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2.7University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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3.81Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.8Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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5.83Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 29.9% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 27.1% | 25.4% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Stone | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Theo Wachowski | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 21.8% | 49.6% |
| Ryan Higgins | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 6.1% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| James Kennedy | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 12.1% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 30.2% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.