Race 8B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Scott Sullivan 30.2% 24.2% 19.2% 13.7% 8.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Goulet 27.4% 24.7% 19.3% 12.9% 9.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 12.7% 14.6% 16.3% 18.2% 17.6% 13.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Michael Stone 11.2% 14.4% 14.8% 19.2% 16.2% 14.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Caroline Skotarzak 8.6% 11.3% 15.2% 15.6% 17.2% 14.3% 10.3% 6.0% 1.5%
Ryan Higgins 4.0% 4.3% 6.0% 10.0% 13.0% 18.6% 23.5% 15.6% 5.0%
Ethan Mendez 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 4.8% 9.3% 16.3% 31.6% 29.7%
Theo Wachowski 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 11.3% 20.5% 53.0%
James Kennedy 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 9.3% 16.8% 23.9% 22.4% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.