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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.05+1.70vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.71+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34-0.96vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.64-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.69-1.64vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-2.17-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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2.78University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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4.7University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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5.87Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.83Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.96Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 29.8% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 26.8% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Higgins | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 6.3% |
| Michael Stone | 11.0% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.0% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Green | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 5.8% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 32.9% | 30.4% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 21.9% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.