← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.28+1.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.31+0.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame-0.64+2.88vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-0.71+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.49-1.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota0.34-1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.05-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Michigan Technological University-2.17-1.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Illinois-1.69-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.65University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
-
2.72University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
-
5.88University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
-
5.84Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
3.79Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.68University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
-
7.95Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
-
7.38University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 29.6% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sullivan | 26.4% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Green | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Higgins | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.0% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stone | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 23.1% | 54.7% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 31.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.