Race 2B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Katie Cummings 20.3% 19.5% 16.1% 15.0% 13.1% 8.8% 3.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 16.1% 15.7% 14.2% 14.0% 11.5% 11.0% 8.9% 4.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Emma Kofmehl 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 11.5% 12.0% 12.9% 13.4% 11.8% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Sarah Yuskaitis 16.7% 15.7% 16.2% 14.0% 12.5% 10.8% 7.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Ainsley Thomson 6.3% 7.4% 9.9% 7.6% 10.4% 11.1% 12.9% 13.9% 11.6% 7.8% 1.1%
Sara Burke 13.4% 13.7% 13.3% 14.1% 12.3% 10.6% 9.1% 6.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Alison Love 6.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 11.3% 13.1% 15.4% 12.5% 7.7% 2.0%
Kathleen Hilton 6.1% 4.7% 7.5% 8.0% 8.6% 11.6% 13.4% 12.2% 15.8% 10.3% 1.8%
Maggy Ashton 1.6% 2.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 5.0% 9.4% 13.8% 31.6% 26.2%
Amanda Tooker 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 11.1% 13.8% 21.7% 17.9% 7.0%
Briana Paxton 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 4.4% 6.7% 18.8% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.