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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.95+0.47vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.01+1.31vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-1.52+0.85vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.53-1.17vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.20-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Miami University0.9563.6%1st Place
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3.31Miami University-1.019.4%1st Place
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3.85Hillsdale College-1.525.2%1st Place
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2.83Ohio State University-0.5313.9%1st Place
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3.54Ohio State University-1.207.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 63.6% | 26.9% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 9.4% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 25.8% | 21.0% |
| Finn Rowan | 5.2% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 25.6% | 40.8% |
| Michael Mignogna | 13.9% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 7.8% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 26.6% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.