← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.96+7.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.70+7.30vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.81+5.91vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.72+1.77vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.39+8.46vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.56+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.13-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.97-0.72vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.33-2.93vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.23-4.56vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.20-5.55vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.39-3.63vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.66-2.18vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.3University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
8.91Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.77Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
13.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.27Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.63Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.28Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.44Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.45Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.37Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
12.82Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
8.58University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 18.1% | 42.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Conner Harding | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 21.0% | 30.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.