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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+5.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.98vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+4.51vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.89vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+2.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+2.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.57vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.62vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-2.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66+0.70vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.96-4.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-0.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-9.23vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.98Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.77Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 7.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Mack Fox | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 30.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 19.6% | 39.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.