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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+5.30vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+3.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.96+2.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66+4.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-2.53vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.23-4.55vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-4.72vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.13-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 30.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Mack Fox | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Conner Harding | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 42.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.