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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+8.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+4.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+3.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+2.33vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-2.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-3.75vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-3.61vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.57vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.72-8.44vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.47vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.53Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Trevor Long | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Conner Harding | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 43.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 21.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.