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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+5.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.80vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+5.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.12vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.96+2.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.13-1.31vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.55vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-3.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66+0.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.53vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.61vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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13.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Conner Harding | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 30.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 43.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.