← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.56+5.04vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.97+6.23vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.20+4.53vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.81+5.10vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.13+1.86vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.39+6.34vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.33-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.72-3.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.43vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.23-3.64vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.70-2.66vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.39-2.54vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.96-5.76vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.40vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.66-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.53Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.1Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.86Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
13.34Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.36Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.34University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
10.46Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.24Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.88Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Trevor Long | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 42.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Conner Harding | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 23.0% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.