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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+7.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+5.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+3.40vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+0.28vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+0.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+1.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-2.68vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+0.39vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-7.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.42vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.64Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 40.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.