← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.81+7.73vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.97+6.23vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.72+2.65vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.93+4.69vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.13+2.77vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.96+2.44vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.20-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.56-2.85vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.23-2.50vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.33-3.95vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.39-1.58vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.50vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.39-0.69vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.66-2.14vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.70-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.73Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.69University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.77Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.44Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.34Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.15Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.5Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.05Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
10.42Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.31Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.86Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.42University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Long | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 40.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 30.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.