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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+4.73vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.36vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+3.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+2.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+2.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96-0.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.57vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-3.53vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.65vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Trevor Long | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Conner Harding | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 43.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 22.0% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.