Race 3B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lauren Burke 17.5% 15.0% 14.9% 13.4% 10.8% 10.9% 9.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
Sarah Yuskaitis 17.9% 18.1% 15.0% 13.5% 13.0% 8.8% 7.9% 3.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Katie Cummings 21.7% 18.9% 15.1% 15.8% 13.2% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Sara Burke 12.4% 15.4% 12.7% 15.0% 12.7% 12.9% 7.2% 7.1% 3.7% 0.9%
Emma Kofmehl 10.0% 8.8% 12.6% 10.4% 13.1% 13.9% 11.8% 11.0% 5.9% 2.5%
Alison Love 6.7% 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.6% 13.0% 12.4% 16.1% 15.1% 7.9%
Ainsley Thomson 4.7% 7.5% 9.9% 8.5% 11.0% 12.8% 15.3% 13.5% 11.7% 5.1%
Kathleen Hilton 4.7% 6.4% 6.8% 8.8% 8.3% 9.5% 13.1% 18.2% 15.5% 8.7%
Amanda Tooker 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 7.8% 11.4% 14.2% 25.9% 20.3%
Maggy Ashton 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 5.9% 9.3% 16.9% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.