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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+6.04vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+2.97vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+4.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+2.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.36vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+0.49vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.13-1.54vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39+3.36vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-3.83vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-5.15vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.77vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-6.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-5.73vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 8.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 41.8% |
| Conner Harding | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.