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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+5.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+4.52vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+4.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+3.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+1.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.42vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+0.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.64vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-5.01vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+1.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.39-2.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-7.31vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.22Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Conner Harding | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 41.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 30.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.