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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+7.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.78vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+3.76vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.96-0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-5.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-4.65vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-3.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-0.75vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-2.28vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.13-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.25Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Conner Harding | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 40.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 29.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.