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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+5.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+3.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+2.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.43vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-0.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-3.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-6.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.89vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.60vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 42.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.