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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+6.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+7.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+2.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+1.37vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+0.05vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-4.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-6.82vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.65Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.38Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Conner Harding | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 42.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.