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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.94vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+6.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.78vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.85vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+2.80vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56-0.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+1.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-2.75vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-3.81vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-5.70vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-0.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-6.30vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.09Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Conner Harding | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 39.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.