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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.50+7.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+2.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.56vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-0.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.92vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.13vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82+0.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-2.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-1.29vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-3.70vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.38-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 18.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Colin Richards | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 32.7% |
| William Bedford | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 13.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.