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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.50+6.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+2.68vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.18vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+0.39vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-1.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.90vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95+1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05-0.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.86vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-1.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.31vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.38-8.75vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.9Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.9% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| Colin Richards | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.