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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.50+6.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+2.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+2.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24-0.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.67vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.82+2.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.36vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95+0.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-5.80vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-4.01vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.21Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.28Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 18.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
| Christian Filter | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Colin Richards | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.