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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+5.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+8.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+6.83vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+7.74vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+2.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+3.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50+1.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-4.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-3.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.42vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.74vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-0.25vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-7.43vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-3.67vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.38-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.14Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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4.48Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.31Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.57Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Colin Richards | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.1% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 30.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.