← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.74+5.30vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.81+2.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.34+2.20vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.81+2.23vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.69vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University3.17-3.67vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-4.29vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-3.19vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.20-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3George Washington University1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.09Georgetown University2.810.2%1st Place
-
5.2University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.23Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
-
4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
3.33Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
-
3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
-
5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
-
7.46Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hilton | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| Lauren Burke | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Alison Love | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 7.7% |
| Sara Burke | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 53.2% |
| Katie Cummings | 20.8% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 18.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Amanda Tooker | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 24.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.