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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.95+0.88vs Predicted
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2Case Western Reserve University0.66+0.21vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.01+0.17vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.53-1.37vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.20-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Miami University0.9544.2%1st Place
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2.21Case Western Reserve University0.6632.5%1st Place
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4.75Hillsdale College-1.523.6%1st Place
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4.17Miami University-1.016.1%1st Place
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3.63Ohio State University-0.538.8%1st Place
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4.36Ohio State University-1.204.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 44.2% | 32.8% | 16.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Liu | 32.5% | 32.0% | 22.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Finn Rowan | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 41.1% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 6.1% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 24.4% | 22.3% |
| Michael Mignogna | 8.8% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 10.0% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 27.5% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.