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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.36vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38+0.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+0.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05+0.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-0.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-0.22vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-7.08vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.50-5.58vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Colin Richards | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Christian Filter | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 19.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 31.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| William Bedford | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.