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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+5.97vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+5.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38+0.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50+2.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-1.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+2.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.20vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-0.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.56vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-6.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-4.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.88Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| William Bedford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Christian Filter | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Colin Richards | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.