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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+4.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.64vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+2.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-1.50vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+2.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-5.50vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-4.88vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-5.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-3.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-2.08vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.92Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Bedford | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 34.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.