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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+5.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+2.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50+3.34vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+4.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-3.25vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-4.71vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-3.29vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.38-8.73vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.48Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.34Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.8% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| William Bedford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.