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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.47vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+9.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+4.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+6.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-0.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-2.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-3.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-3.71vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-4.57vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-2.31vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-7.71vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.