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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+1.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+5.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82+4.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-0.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-4.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-1.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-2.00vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.73Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.0Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Colin Richards | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 34.2% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.