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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+3.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97+1.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+2.87vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.82+2.69vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95+1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.09vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-4.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.49vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-7.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.61vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.33Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 18.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| William Bedford | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.