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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.05+9.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+2.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+3.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+0.62vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-1.62vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-3.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-3.67vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-0.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-1.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-7.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.29Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Richards | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christian Filter | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.5% |
| William Bedford | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.