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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+3.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.35vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+3.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.17-0.64vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.34-0.95vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74-0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.58vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-3.14vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.20-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Georgetown University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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6.26Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.36Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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6.4George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Sara Burke | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Alison Love | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Katie Cummings | 21.9% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 17.7% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 18.8% | 51.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 25.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.