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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.11vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.27vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97+1.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-0.62vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+2.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.36vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-4.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-4.50vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-3.92vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.97Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 17.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| William Bedford | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.9% |
| Colin Richards | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.