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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+6.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+1.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-2.33vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-1.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.76vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-2.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-3.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-2.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% |
| Colin Richards | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 33.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.