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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.85vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.46vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+2.93vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.87+1.29vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.15+2.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.63-2.92vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-2.18vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-0.50+3.31vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.89-3.84vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+1.38vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.55-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-0.38-0.88vs Predicted
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15Colgate University-0.05-2.81vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88-0.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-0.89-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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3.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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7.93Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.09Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.82Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.31Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.16Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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13.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.74Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.19Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.8Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 17.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.2% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 19.5% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 7.1% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 7.0% |
| Patrick May | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 58.3% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 22.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.