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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.63+3.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.86vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+2.04vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.89+1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.15+0.98vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.55+1.90vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.52-1.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-4.20vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.05+0.23vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+0.34vs Predicted
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14Hamilton College-0.50-0.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.89-0.93vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-1.22vs Predicted
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18University of Rochester-0.38-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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3.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.23Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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8.98Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.9Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.09Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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12.23Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.34Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.35Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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14.07U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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15.78Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 17.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 19.1% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 25.6% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick May | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 7.9% |
| James Reynolds | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 8.1% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 23.5% | 16.1% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 57.0% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.