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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.88vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+3.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+2.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.15+3.23vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63-1.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-1.65vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.55+1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.38+3.01vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.05+1.26vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.89-4.96vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.52-4.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.21vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College-0.50-1.80vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.55vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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3.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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3.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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10.8Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.26Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.04Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.21Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.21U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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13.2Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.45Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.8Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 25.5% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 20.3% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 4.4% |
| Patrick May | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 26.3% | 16.2% |
| James Reynolds | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 7.6% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.7% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.