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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+5.49vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.87+5.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+0.99vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89+3.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.15+3.94vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.55+4.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.58vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.55vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-0.05+3.20vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.89vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.52-2.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-6.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.38-0.18vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.09vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88-0.34vs Predicted
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18Hamilton College-1.17-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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3.99Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.11Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.94Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.78Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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12.2Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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8.16Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.82University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.23Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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15.66Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.52Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 21.7% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick May | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Charles Miller | 25.3% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 6.4% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 13.7% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 51.7% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.