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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.87+6.05vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+1.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.46vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+1.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.84vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.15+2.06vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.89-1.08vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63-3.73vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.52-2.00vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.55-0.34vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-0.05-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-0.38-1.12vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-1.69vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88-0.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.89-3.02vs Predicted
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18Hamilton College-1.17-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.92Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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9.06Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.92Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.0Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.66Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.14Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.31Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.57Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.98U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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14.54Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Andersen | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 20.9% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 23.2% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Gittens | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick May | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 7.5% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 50.5% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 12.7% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 24.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.