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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+4.61vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.87+4.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.63+1.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.93vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.45vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.89+0.10vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.15+1.01vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-0.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.51vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College-0.50+2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.38+1.03vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-0.05-0.77vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88+1.79vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-4.25vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.58vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-0.89-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.1Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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3.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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7.1Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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13.31Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.23Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.79Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.75Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.42Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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14.22U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 17.0% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.3% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 18.3% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 7.5% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Patrick May | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 57.3% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 9.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.