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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+2.90vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.41vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.89+4.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+2.77vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+0.06vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.79vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.15+2.12vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.52+0.01vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.87-1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.55vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.55-0.25vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.05+0.23vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College-0.50+0.31vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.38-2.05vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88-0.20vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.89-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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7.1Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.06Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.01Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.75Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.23Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.31Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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15.8Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.2U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 21.4% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 23.4% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick May | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| James Reynolds | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 8.1% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 8.6% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 57.6% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 24.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.