Race 2A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 25.7% 23.8% 15.2% 9.6% 8.6% 6.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Graham Philpot 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 4.8% 4.4% 6.5% 6.8% 11.4% 15.4% 30.3%
Conor Lodge 5.0% 4.3% 6.0% 5.7% 7.1% 5.9% 6.5% 9.3% 7.6% 8.8% 10.9% 8.9% 7.8% 6.2%
Elizabeth Barry 9.4% 12.3% 12.8% 11.3% 9.7% 10.1% 9.8% 7.7% 5.7% 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Will Pelleteri 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 6.3% 6.4% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 7.4% 10.8% 12.4% 10.7% 10.0%
Andrew Kurzrok 4.1% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 8.7% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 9.0% 9.6% 8.4% 9.9% 7.4%
Billy Hines 3.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 7.4% 6.6% 8.6% 9.3% 11.2% 13.5% 13.9%
Christian Manchester 11.7% 11.8% 11.0% 11.2% 11.7% 9.0% 7.3% 8.1% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Peter Giuliano 4.1% 2.8% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 7.2% 7.9% 9.2% 10.5% 9.1% 12.2% 10.1% 8.9%
Ben Greenfield 13.7% 13.5% 15.4% 13.0% 10.7% 8.4% 8.9% 6.2% 3.7% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 6.4% 7.2% 5.9% 10.5% 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 8.0% 8.3% 8.7% 6.8% 4.5% 4.1% 2.3%
Quentin Chafee 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.2% 6.6% 10.8% 9.6% 8.6% 9.8% 8.3% 7.4% 6.3% 5.0% 3.4%
Reeve Dunne 3.1% 3.3% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 9.5% 12.9% 12.7%
Christopher Poole 4.1% 3.8% 6.0% 5.8% 7.6% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.5% 7.9% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.