Race 3B

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lila Torresen 20.4% 29.6% 23.9% 15.6% 6.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Myneni 56.6% 27.7% 11.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Sorbie 7.5% 13.4% 18.7% 19.9% 16.3% 13.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Astrid Myhre 5.0% 9.8% 16.6% 17.9% 18.2% 14.5% 9.8% 5.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Hannah Monville 3.3% 5.0% 6.9% 10.8% 15.2% 16.7% 17.0% 14.3% 8.2% 2.6%
George Prokop 2.1% 4.5% 5.9% 10.4% 12.4% 13.2% 16.2% 16.9% 13.9% 4.5%
Leo Barch 1.5% 3.0% 5.1% 6.7% 7.9% 11.0% 14.9% 17.6% 21.4% 10.8%
Alex Schlotterer 1.1% 2.2% 3.4% 5.3% 7.2% 10.0% 13.3% 16.6% 26.1% 14.8%
Adam Bryan 0.3% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 5.2% 8.8% 13.8% 62.5%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.1% 4.2% 6.4% 8.8% 13.2% 15.1% 16.2% 17.2% 12.8% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.