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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.73vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.17+1.38vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.74+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81-2.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+1.70vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.81-1.86vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.20-1.58vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
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3.38Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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6.41George Washington University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University2.810.2%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.14Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 17.7% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Katie Cummings | 21.8% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 8.0% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Sara Burke | 14.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Burke | 16.5% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 54.2% |
| Alison Love | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 21.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.