← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.34vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.07vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University3.14+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.63+1.18vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University0.55+5.54vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.15+3.18vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+6.13vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.04-1.45vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.42vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.52-1.98vs Predicted
-
11Hamilton College-1.17+3.45vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.87-4.86vs Predicted
-
13Colgate University-0.05-0.90vs Predicted
-
14Queen's University1.89-6.85vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Rochester-0.38-4.05vs Predicted
-
18Penn State University-1.88-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
-
3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
-
4.0Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
5.18Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.54Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.18Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.55Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.02Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
-
14.45Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.14Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.1Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.15Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
-
13.91U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
-
12.95University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
-
15.69Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 22.0% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 24.9% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 15.5% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Grace Howie | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 24.6% | 22.2% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick May | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Scott Gittens | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 12.6% |
| Brent Calabresi | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 4.3% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.